Laporan Analisis Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah September 2016

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Normalisasi harga pasca hari raya Idul Fitri mendorong terjadinya deflasi di Sulawesi Utara pada Agustus 2016. Inflasi Sulut yang diwakili Kota Manado pada bulan Agustus tercatat sebesar -0,38% (mtm), relatif sesuai dengan prakiraan Bank Indonesia sebelumnya. Secara tahunan, level inflasi Sulut tercatat sebesar 3,62% (yoy) atau masih berada di atas level inflasi Nasional yang sebesar 2,79% (yoy). Deflasi pada Agustus terutama bersumber dari penurunan harga yang terjadi pada kelompok volatile food. Di sisi lain, tekanan pada kelompok administered prices dan kelompok inti juga relatif mereda. Di bulan September, tekanan inflasi Sulut diperkirakan relatif minimal seiring dengan masuknya periode panen raya tabama yang diikuti optimisme peningkatan produktifitas. Namun, risiko masih membayangi, diantaranya yaitu potensi peningkatan harga cabai rawit dan daging-dagingan dipengaruhi perayaan hari raya Idul Adha.
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